The Halving Could Send Bitcoin’s Price Surging 4,200%

By Michael Gross

We’re six months away from a rare phenomenon in crypto. In fact, it’s only happened three times over the past 15 years.

It’s called the “halving.” And if history is any guide, it will ignite the price of bitcoin.

If you have yet to prepare for this event, today’s essay is for you.

That’s because a clear and predictable pattern has played out prior to each halving.

If you’re aware of this pattern, you can potentially maximize your returns as the next bull market in bitcoin kicks off.

Failure to do so could mean missing out on a 4,200% price surge that bitcoin has averaged in the two years following its past halvings.

Today, I’ll go over what the halving event is… the pattern that emerges before each one… and how you can take advantage of it.

A Sneak Peak of Mega Bull Markets in a Forgotten Sector

Rare earth elements (REEs) are set to become the epicenter of a high-stakes global market.

This is a market where 1000%-2000% gains come and go faster than the hottest crypto token of the day.

These elements are not just materials; they’re the backbone of world-class magnets, far beyond the simple fridge adornments.

From sleek smartphones to robust wind turbines, REEs are the secret sauce in cutting-edge tech.

They’re not just components; they’re catalysts of innovation, making modern gadgets faster, smaller, and more efficient.

These magnets are the lifeblood of contemporary technology.

In wind turbines and electric vehicles, the role of REEs is pivotal.

Their magnetic properties are transforming wind energy with direct-drive turbines and driving electric vehicles with unparalleled torque and precision.

Each electric vehicle requires about 1 kilogram of neodymium-praseodymium oxide,

While a single wind turbine needs over 200 kilograms.

In a market that China has had a stranglehold on for decades, breaking into the market is no easy task.

Understanding REE Supply: The Chinese Dominance

Bitcoin derivatives traders target $40K BTC price now that Binance is resolved

By Marcel Pechman

BTC futures and options held firm despite a wave of negative news, and data shows traders targeting $40,000.

The cryptocurrency market recently experienced events that were previously expected to present a severe negative price impact, and yet, Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $37,000 on Nov. 22 — essentially flat from three days prior.

Such performance was utterly unexpected given the relevance of Binance’s plea deal on Nov. 21 with the United States government for violating laws involving money laundering and terror financing.

Bearish news has had limited impact on Bitcoin price

One might argue that entities have been manipulating Bitcoin’s price to avoid contagion, possibly involving the issuing of unbacked stablecoins — especially those with direct ties to the exchanges suffering from regulatory pressure. Thus, to identify whether investors became highly risk-averse, one should analyze Bitcoin derivatives instead of focusing solely on the current price levels.

The U.S. government filed indictments against Binance and co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao in Washington state on Nov. 14, but the documents were unsealed on Nov. 21. After admitting the offenses, CZ stepped away from Binance management as part of the deal. Penalties totaled over $4 billion, including fines imposed on CZ personally. The news triggered a mere $50 million in BTC leveraged long futures contracts after Bitcoin’s price momentarily traded down to $35,600.

Could it Be the Fed’s Mega-QE Created so Much Liquidity that Tightening Doesn’t Work until this Excess Gets Burned Up?

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

One of the big surprises this year is that the Fed’s 5.5% policy rates and $1.1 trillion in QT have neither meaningfully tightened financial conditions nor slowed the economy.

The Fed has been “tightening” since early 2022 in order to “tighten” the financial conditions, and these tighter financial conditions are then supposed to make it harder and more expensive to borrow which is supposed to slow economic growth and remove the fuel that drives inflation. “Financial conditions,” which are tracked by various indices, got a little less loose, and then they re-loosened all over again. It’s almost funny.

The Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) loosened further, dipping to -0.36 in the latest reporting week, the loosest since May 2022, when the Fed just started its tightening cycle. The index is constructed to have an average value of zero going back to 1971. Negative values show that financial conditions are looser than average, and they have been loosening since April 2023, after a brief tightening episode during the bank panic (chart via Chicago Fed):

The Uncomfortable Truth of How War Affects the Markets

By Brett Eversole

The first sirens started blaring at 6:35 a.m...

It was the first warning that an attack was coming. Rockets began raining down, battering central and southern Israel.

On October 7, Hamas – the terrorist group that controls the Gaza Strip – fired more than 2,000 rockets into the country. But this was more than an aerial assault. Hamas invaded Israel by air, land, and sea...

Fighters killed civilians indiscriminately. Hamas is now holding more than 200 people hostage – many of whom were taken captive in the first attacks.

Israel has declared war. As of today, just a month after the assault began, the death toll on both sides is in the thousands. I'm sure you've seen the ongoing news coverage.

Terrorists Blowing Up Stuff gives Excuse for Martial Law – Martin Armstrong

Legendary financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong began 2023 predicting “chaos” would be coming around the world. We have a bloody war in Ukraine, a new conflict with Gaza and Israel, and a wide open U.S. border with the FBI predicting huge terror attacks coming to America. Is this kind of destabilization a coincidence or is it a Deep State globalist plan? Why are the demonic dark powers taking peace from the earth and forecasting big terror events coming to America? Armstrong contends, “It is very simple. Basically, we are looking at a sovereign default. Governments are pushed to the limit at this stage. You even had Fed Head Jay Powell come out last week and say ‘the spending is unsustainable.’ The Biden Administration is a complete corrupt absolute disaster. It’s not really Biden . . . he’s just there to sign whatever they stick in front of him.”